Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.431283 0.491136 0.555062 0.628280 0.709677 0.797243 0.898426
2025-10-26 0.323063 0.402585 0.494056 0.606470 0.740276 0.893798 1.082574
2025-11-02 0.250313 0.339483 0.449355 0.593302 0.775365 0.996301 1.282812
2025-11-09 0.198717 0.291947 0.414435 0.584581 0.811831 1.101578 1.495071
2025-11-16 0.161728 0.256211 0.387993 0.581114 0.851997 1.212820 1.722980
2025-11-23 0.131731 0.224409 0.361246 0.572080 0.881457 1.310264 1.938854
2025-11-30 0.112885 0.205543 0.349595 0.581702 0.936093 1.444542 2.213393
2025-12-07 0.094136 0.183237 0.329037 0.574463 0.963824 1.541141 2.440108
2025-12-14 0.080950 0.167749 0.316693 0.577651 1.006235 1.660688 2.706595
2025-12-21 0.068175 0.150535 0.298764 0.568973 1.028047 1.749341 2.931212
2025-12-28 0.061957 0.144463 0.299094 0.590511 1.099745 1.918849 3.288639
2026-01-04 0.056287 0.138404 0.298450 0.609825 1.168629 2.087504 3.653675
2026-01-11 0.049229 0.128325 0.289199 0.613089 1.211109 2.217677 3.967992
2026-01-18 0.042889 0.118573 0.279200 0.613714 1.248739 2.342035 4.280154
2026-01-25 0.037376 0.109588 0.269431 0.613496 1.284451 2.464976 4.596592
2026-02-01 0.032566 0.101266 0.259802 0.612279 1.317802 2.585385 4.914861
2026-02-08 0.028590 0.094182 0.251793 0.613279 1.355033 2.714326 5.254042
2026-02-15 0.024660 0.086299 0.240761 0.606519 1.376251 2.815288 5.549112
2026-02-22 0.022342 0.082411 0.238487 0.618267 1.434785 2.987146 5.977579
2026-03-01 0.019337 0.075753 0.228467 0.611592 1.455135 3.088935 6.284804
2026-03-08 0.017229 0.071344 0.223397 0.615525 1.497472 3.234106 6.677476
2026-03-15 0.014850 0.065400 0.213394 0.606690 1.511864 3.326147 6.975993
2026-03-22 0.013972 0.064395 0.216513 0.629653 1.596367 3.558746 7.547472